The persistence of the effects of acupuncture after a course of treatment: A meta-analysis of patients with chronic pain

MacPherson et al. · Pain · 2017

📊Individual patient data meta-analysis👥n=17,922 participants🌟High clinical impact

Evidence Level

STRONG
85/ 100
Quality
5/5
Sample
5/5
Replication
4/5
🎯

OBJECTIVE

To determine how long the effects of acupuncture persist after the end of treatment in patients with chronic pain

👥

WHO

17,922 patients with low back, neck, shoulder pain, knee osteoarthritis, and migraine/headache

⏱️

DURATION

Follow-up of up to 12 months after the end of treatment

📍

POINTS

Varied according to the condition treated across the 29 included trials

🔬 Study Design

17922participants
randomization

Acupuncture vs no acupuncture

n=8

8 studies comparing acupuncture with waiting list/usual care

Acupuncture vs sham acupuncture

n=16

16 studies comparing true acupuncture with sham acupuncture

⏱️ Duration: 12-month follow-up

📊 Results in numbers

0%

Persistence vs no acupuncture at 12 months

0%

Persistence vs sham acupuncture at 12 months

0.011 SD (p=0.4)

Effect reduction vs no acupuncture per 3 months

0.025 SD (p=0.05)

Effect reduction vs sham per 3 months

Percentage highlights

90%
Persistence vs no acupuncture at 12 months
50%
Persistence vs sham acupuncture at 12 months

📊 Outcome Comparison

Effect persistence at 12 months

vs No acupuncture
90
vs Sham acupuncture
50
💬 What does this mean for you?

This large study shows that the benefits of acupuncture for chronic pain do not disappear quickly after the end of treatment. Compared with no treatment, about 90% of the benefits of acupuncture are still present after 12 months. This means that patients can be confident that the pain relief obtained with acupuncture tends to last.

📝

Article summary

Plain-language narrative summary

One of the major challenges in chronic pain treatment has been understanding not only whether a treatment is effective, but how long its benefits last after therapy ends. For patients who have lived with pain for years or even decades, the question of the durability of therapeutic effects is fundamental. In the case of acupuncture, although previous studies have demonstrated its efficacy for various chronic painful conditions, an important uncertainty remained about the persistence of these benefits over time. This question has significant practical implications both for patients considering undergoing treatment and for healthcare professionals making referrals, in addition to directly impacting economic analyses of the therapy's cost-effectiveness.

To clarify this crucial question, researchers from the Acupuncture Trialists' Collaboration conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis using individual patient data from 29 high-quality randomized controlled clinical trials. The study included 17,922 patients with chronic pain conditions, encompassing musculoskeletal pain such as low back pain, neck and shoulder pain, knee osteoarthritis, and headaches or migraines. The methodology employed was particularly robust, as it directly analyzed how pain scores changed over time after treatment ended, rather than simply comparing results at isolated time points. The researchers used sophisticated statistical techniques that accounted for the correlation between repeated measurements from the same patient over time, providing a more accurate analysis of the trajectory of acupuncture effects.

The main results revealed a quite encouraging picture for the persistence of acupuncture benefits. When acupuncture was compared with non-acupuncture controls (such as waiting list or usual care), the researchers observed that the effects diminished only in a non-significant manner, with a reduction of 0.011 standard deviation every three months after the end of treatment. This means that approximately 90% of the benefits of acupuncture relative to controls were maintained at 12-month follow-up. For studies comparing true acupuncture with sham acupuncture (placebo), there was a slightly larger reduction in effects over time, of 0.025 standard deviation every three months, suggesting that about 50% of the benefits would persist at 12 months.

Interestingly, when researchers excluded the specific neck pain studies from the analysis, the results for acupuncture versus placebo improved considerably, with approximately 70% of benefits being maintained over one year.

These findings have important and reassuring clinical implications for patients and professionals. Patients considering acupuncture for chronic pain can be reassured that the benefits obtained during treatment do not disappear quickly after its end. This is particularly relevant given that many of the included studies involved patients with chronic pain lasting decades. For healthcare professionals, these results offer solid evidence that acupuncture represents a lasting therapeutic investment, not just temporary relief.

In addition, the findings have substantial economic implications, since many cost-effectiveness analyses of acupuncture previously assumed that benefits ceased immediately after the last study follow-up. Based on this evidence, using a 12-month time horizon instead of 3 months in economic analyses would reduce the cost per quality-adjusted life year by 75%, making acupuncture an even more economically attractive option.

The study has some important limitations that should be considered when interpreting the results. Not all included clinical trials provided follow-up data at multiple time points after treatment, and only eight of the twenty studies followed patients for 40 weeks or more. Only one study offered a two-year follow-up after randomization. In addition, significant heterogeneity was observed between studies, particularly evident in the neck pain trials, where the effects of acupuncture diminished more rapidly compared with other conditions.

This may be related to the fact that treatments for neck pain tended to be shorter (3-4 weeks) compared with other conditions (6-8 weeks or longer). Despite these limitations, the researchers consider it reasonable to conclude about the persistence of acupuncture effects over a 12-month period, based on the consistency of available data and the absence of significant differences between studies with longer versus shorter follow-up. It is important to note, however, that although we can conclude about the persistence of effects up to 12 months, it is not possible to extrapolate these findings to longer periods without additional specific studies.

Strengths

  • 1Largest individual-patient meta-analysis of acupuncture for chronic pain ever conducted
  • 2Data from nearly 18,000 patients from high-quality studies
  • 3First direct analysis of the time course of acupuncture effects
  • 4Longitudinal methodology appropriate for evaluating changes over time
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Limitations

  • 1Not all studies provided long-term follow-up data
  • 2Only one study had 2-year follow-up
  • 3Significant heterogeneity between studies
  • 4Neck pain showed lower persistence of effects

📅 Historical Context

1999Primeiros ensaios controlados de acupuntura para dor crônica
2005Consolidação de evidências em múltiplas condições dolorosas
2012Meta-análise original da Acupuncture Trialists' Collaboration
2017Análise da persistência dos efeitos da acupuntura publicada
Dr. Marcus Yu Bin Pai

Expert Commentary

Dr. Marcus Yu Bin Pai

MD, PhD · Pain Medicine · Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation · Medical Acupuncture

Clinical Relevance

The question I hear most often in pain clinic is not 'does acupuncture work?' but rather 'how long will it last?'. This meta-analysis with nearly 18,000 patients answers exactly that, and the answer changes the conversation with the patient even before we start treatment. When compared with no treatment, 90% of the analgesic benefit persists at 12 months, a finding that justifies acupuncture as a first- or second-line intervention in chronic low back pain, knee osteoarthritis, chronic headache, and shoulder pain, populations broadly represented in the sample. From a clinical management standpoint, this means that a well-conducted cycle is not short-term palliation but rather a more durable modification of pain processing, which supports the inclusion of acupuncture in multidisciplinary pain protocols without the need for immediate continuous repetition.

Notable Findings

The most revealing finding is not the effect size itself but its decay curve: the reduction of 0.011 standard deviation every three months versus the no-acupuncture control is statistically non-significant (p=0.4), indicating that the effect remains practically flat over one year. Compared with sham acupuncture, the decay of 0.025 SD every three months (p=0.05) suggests preservation of approximately 50% of the specific effect at 12 months, which, within the context of chronic pain, still represents a clinically relevant gain. The exclusion of neck pain studies from the acupuncture-versus-sham analysis raised persistence to about 70%, indicating that shorter protocols (3-4 weeks, typical of neck pain trials) may be insufficient to consolidate long-term neuromodulatory effect, a finding with direct implications for planning the number of sessions per condition.

From My Experience

In my musculoskeletal pain practice, the question about durability is decisive for patient adherence, and these data validate what I have observed over the years: well-selected patients with chronic low back pain or knee osteoarthritis tend to maintain functional gains for 9 to 12 months after a cycle of 8 to 12 sessions, especially when we combine treatment with a supervised exercise program. I have seen initial responses as early as the third to fifth session, with noticeable consolidation around the eighth. For neck pain, my experience is consistent with what the article suggests: the response is less stable, and in those cases I usually plan longer cycles or bimonthly booster sessions. The profile that responds best, in my observation, is the patient with chronic non-nociceptive pain, without severe central sensitization and with good adherence to exercise. Combining acupuncture with lumbar stabilization training or hydrotherapy, depending on functional capacity, has produced, in my experience, a durability that these data finally quantify with rigor.

PhD in Health Sciences, University of São Paulo. Board-certified in Pain Medicine, Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, and Medical Acupuncture.

Full original article

Read the full scientific study

Pain · 2017

DOI: 10.1097/j.pain.0000000000000747

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Scientific Review

Marcus Yu Bin Pai, MD, PhD

Marcus Yu Bin Pai, MD, PhD

CRM-SP: 158074 | RQE: 65523 · 65524 · 655241

PhD in Health Sciences, University of São Paulo. Board-certified in Pain Medicine, Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, and Medical Acupuncture. Scientific review and curation of every entry in this library.

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Medical disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not replace consultation, diagnosis, or treatment by a qualified professional. Some information may be assisted by artificial intelligence and is subject to inaccuracies. Always consult a physician.

Content reviewed by the medical team at CEIMEC — Integrated Centre for Chinese Medicine Studies, a reference in Medical Acupuncture for over 30 years.